295 results for "memo":
Showing 91 - 100 of 295 results
The Illusion of Knowledge
It was that lunch that started me thinking about writing yet another memo on the futility of macro forecasting., Shortly after starting on this memo, I received my regular weekly edition of Morgan Housel’s always-brilliant newsletter., I found Ferguson’s article so relevant to the subject of this memo that I’m including a link to it here., – Mark Twain As I mentioned in my recent memo Thinking About Macro, in the 1970s we used to describe an economist as “a portfolio manager who never marks to market.”, All Rights Reserved Follow us: * * * In a 2001 memo called What’s It All About, Alpha?
Cockroaches in the Coal Mine
© 2025 Oaktree Capital Management, L.P All Rights Reserved Follow us: Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: Cockroaches in the Coal Mine Pardon the mixed metaphor, but I couldn’t resist., As I mentioned in my memo Gimme Credit in March, the thing people have asked me about most often over the last few years is private credit., As I pointed out in my memo What Does the Market Know?, Investors’ risk tolerance grows, and they tend to focus less on due diligence and more on bidding aggressively for deals (see my memo The Race to the Bottom, February 2007)., One I haven’t mentioned since my memo The Long View in 2009 is the “bezzle,” a concept Galbraith introduced in his book The Great Crash 1929.
Irrational Exuberance
A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: OaktreeClients From: HowardMarks Re: Irrational Exuberance Recent years have witnessed great excesses in the stock market., Thus I will attempt below to combine a number of ideas and bits of empirical data I've stored up over recent weeks in a memo which expresses my views and hopefully is of value to you., That being the case, I'm not going to miss the opportunity to celebrate the correctness to date of my last memo, “bubble. com.”, The table below lists the stocks mentioned in that memo and their declines from its publication at year end, and from the highs reached since then, to the April trough
Everyone Knows
A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: OaktreeClients From: HowardMarks Re: EveryoneKnows _____________________________________________________________________________ par·a·doxn1aseemingly absurd or self-contradictory statement that is or may be true . . . 4 an opinion that conflicts with common belief., I’ve been saving up ideas for a memo about how often the investing herd is wrong and accepted wisdom should be bet against.
Doesn't Make Sense
A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: OaktreeClients From: Howard M a r k s R e : Doesn’tMakeSense Academics have their theories about market efficiency., In a memo several years ago, I listed a few phrases that have sunk into obscurity over the course of my career.
The Race to the Bottom
But there are other ways to cheapen your money, and they’re the primary subject of this memo, UThe Auction’s On While the last few years have given me many opportunities to marvel at excesses in the capital markets, in this case the one that elicited my battle cry – “that calls for a memo” – hit the newspapers in England during my last stay., Now, I am no expert on the UK mortgage market, and it’s my intention in this memo to comment on general capital market trends, not any one sector., As is often the case, I could have made this a shorter memo by simply invoking my two favorite quotations, both of which have a place here., This memo can be summed up simply: there’s a race to the bottom going on, reflecting a widespread reduction in the level of prudence on the part of investors and capital providers.
Nobody Knows II
All Rights Reserved Follow us: Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: Nobody Knows II I wrote most of this memo over this past weekend, on the heels of the tumultuous seven-day correction., So please read this memo as of Sunday afternoon – whatever the markets have done since – and let me show how I assess the recent events, * * * I last used this memo title on September 19, 2008, two days after Lehman Brothers’ bankruptcy filing., I’ve had a ready answer, thanks to something from my January memo, You Bet!, The one that stayed with me most – and that I’ve used a lot since the memo was published on January 13 – is this one: An expert in any field will have an advantage over a rookie.
Yet Again
All Rights Reserved Follow us: Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: Yet Again?, As I said in the memo, “it’s not real” – there is no intrinsic value behind it., It’s time for caution, as I wrote in the memo, not a full-scale exodus., Thus I’ve realized the memo was diagnostic but not sufficiently prescriptive., If you believe what I said in the memo about the presence of risk today, you might want to opt for #3.
Conversation at Panmure House
In the late ’90s, I wrote a memo called What's It All About, Alpha?, In the spring of 2007, I wrote a memo called The Race to the Bottom., PS: I’d like to talk more about the memo Investing Without People., In the memo Investing Without People, there are three sections., The conversation on pp. 7-8 of this memo is for illustrative purposes only.
Ditto
When I see it recur and want to comment, I’m often tempted to dust off an old memo, update the details, and just insert the word “ditto.”, Cycles and Risk This memo is devoted to the cycle in attitudes toward risk., Risk and Return Today (2004 Version) The name of this section served as the title of a memo in October 2004., In the memo I observed that the “capital market line” connecting risk and return had become “lower and flatter.”, That memo may have been too early, but it wasn’t wrong.