305 results for "memo":
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On Bubble Watch
The memo had two things going for it: it was right, and it was right fast., Some of what I write here will be familiar to anyone who read my December memo about the macro picture., But that memo only went to Oaktree clients, so I’m going to recycle here the part of its content that relates to the subject of bubbles., As many of my memo readers know, I joined the equity research department at First National City Bank (now Citi) in September 1969., * * * As I said at the start of this memo, I’m not an equity investor, and I’m certainly no expert on technology.
Conversations - Full Return World - Transcript
Howard, why were you interested in writing a follow-up to your memo, Sea Change?, And of course, the original Sea Change thesis came out of client visits that I made in October and November, and then the memo was released in December., I’ve never written a memo before that talked about something of the magnitude of the sea change that I think we’re going through., Anna So the last specific question I’ll ask about this memo, Howard, is for you, and it’s about capital allocation because it’s obviously a big part of the memo Further Thoughts on Sea Change., I discussed this in a memo called Race to the Bottom in February ’07, which unfortunately turned out to be right in the Global Financial Crisis.
The Role of Confidence
That’s what this memo is about., Confidence Today Back in September, I wrote a memo entitled “On Uncertain Ground.”, In mid-2007 I was working on a memo with the projected title “The Mother of All Cycles.”, In the memo I complained that every asset class, every asset and every region was appreciating., Thus that memo was followed by “It’s All Good . . .
Easy Money
I received excellent feedback on the memo from clients – encouragement that pro mpted the many memos that have followed., I thank Zach Kessler, a regular memo reader, for sending it., The relevance of The Price of Time to the trends I’ve been discussing for the last year occasions this memo, As I asked at the time in my memo There They Go Again . . ., Thus, I wrote as follows in my memo You Can’ t Predict.
Mr. Market Miscalculates (Audio)
In his latest memo, Howard Marks discusses the reasons for the recent market volatility using one of finance’s classic metaphors: Mr.
Open and Shut
Memo to: OaktreeClients From: Howard M a r k s R e : OpenandShut MarkTwain is described as having said, “History doesn’t repeat itself, but it does rhyme.”, I’m willing to try an experiment along those lines for this memo., The above citations provide the themes for this memo., In short, whereas economies fluctuate a little and profits a fair bit, the credit window opens wide and then slams shut . . . thus the title of this memo., The Ramifications In 2003, my memo “What’s Going On?”
Ditto
When I see it recur and want to comment, I’m often tempted to dust off an old memo, update the details, and just insert the word “ditto.”, Cycles and Risk This memo is devoted to the cycle in attitudes toward risk., Risk and Return Today (2004 Version) The name of this section served as the title of a memo in October 2004., In the memo I observed that the “capital market line” connecting risk and return had become “lower and flatter.”, That memo may have been too early, but it wasn’t wrong.
Calibrating
All Rights Reserved Follow us: Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: Calibrating I set a personal record by writing four memos in the month of March, responding to the rapidly unfolding coronavirus crisis., In this first memo of the crisis, I struck a number of themes I would return to in the following weeks: These days, people have been asking me whether this is the time to buy., Latest Update – to clients March 19, on website March 24 This memo was issued with the S&P 500 down 29% and within a few days of the low (down 34%) that would be reached on March 23., Portfolio Positioning One of the benefits I derive from writing my memos is that the more I work on a memo about something, the more it comes into focus., On the contrary, I gave this memo the title Calibrating because of my view that a portfolio’s positioning should change over time in response to what’s going on in the environment.
The Illusion of Knowledge
It was that lunch that started me thinking about writing yet another memo on the futility of macro forecasting., Shortly after starting on this memo, I received my regular weekly edition of Morgan Housel’s always-brilliant newsletter., I found Ferguson’s article so relevant to the subject of this memo that I’m including a link to it here., – Mark Twain As I mentioned in my recent memo Thinking About Macro, in the 1970s we used to describe an economist as “a portfolio manager who never marks to market.”, All Rights Reserved Follow us: * * * In a 2001 memo called What’s It All About, Alpha?
Cockroaches in the Coal Mine
© 2025 Oaktree Capital Management, L.P All Rights Reserved Follow us: Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: Cockroaches in the Coal Mine Pardon the mixed metaphor, but I couldn’t resist., As I mentioned in my memo Gimme Credit in March, the thing people have asked me about most often over the last few years is private credit., As I pointed out in my memo What Does the Market Know?, Investors’ risk tolerance grows, and they tend to focus less on due diligence and more on bidding aggressively for deals (see my memo The Race to the Bottom, February 2007)., One I haven’t mentioned since my memo The Long View in 2009 is the “bezzle,” a concept Galbraith introduced in his book The Great Crash 1929.