295 results for "memo":
Showing 121 - 130 of 295 results
The Rewind - Dare to Be Great
Howard reflects on this memo originally published on September 7, 2006.
The Pendulum in International Affairs
Howard Marks’s latest memo connects two seemingly unrelated trends – Europe’s energy dependence and U.S. offshoring – to explain why the pendulum of companies’ and countries’ behavior may be swinging away from globalization and toward onshoring.
Bull Market Rhymes
All Rights Reserved Follow us: Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: Bull Market Rhymes While I employ a great many adages and quotes in my writings, my main go-to list consists of a relatively small number., They’ll be the topic of this memo., I want to mention up front that this memo has nothing to do with assessing the markets’ likely direction from here., And updating a question I asked in my memo The Happy Medium (July 2004), why has its annual return been between 8% and 12% just six times during this period?, In my 2007 memo The Race to the Bottom, I explained that when there’s too much money in the hands of investors and providers of capital and they’re too eager to put it to work, they bid too aggressively for securities and the chance to lend.
Knowledge of the Future
All Rights Reserved Follow us: Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: Knowledge of the Future As I showed by using it again in last week’s memo, I was impressed by the observation of Marc Lipsitch, Harvard epidemiologist, that there are (a) facts, (b) informed extrapolations from analogies to other viruses and (c) opinion or speculation., I chose the title of this memo because it’s such an oxymoron: there’s practically no such thing as meaningful knowledge regarding the future investment environment., Thus, this memo will be about some things people think they know but may not.
No Different This Time – The Lessons of ‘07
A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: OaktreeClients From: Howard M a r k s R e : NoDifferentThisTime – The Lessons of ‘07 On July 16, I published a memo called “It’s All Good.”, The bullish balloon remained unpunctured as of July 16, and some may have thought my memo unduly pessimistic., I don’t doubt that it is, and for that reason his statement calls to mind a 2005 memo titled “Hindsight First, Please (or, What Were They Thinking?).”, In August 1996, I wrote a memo showing that in the Wall Street Journal’s semi-annual poll of economists, on average the predictions are an extrapolation of the current condition.
Investment Miscellany
A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: OaktreeClients From: HowardMarks Re: Investment Miscellany Because I've been encouraged by the response to my “bubble. com” and venture capital memos, I'm going to keep writing., Glassman's name may be familiar to you, because my memo of May 1, 2000 took issue with “Dow 36,000,” a book he co-authored., As I wrote in my May memo, investors rapidly incorporate new information into their estimates of security values, and the market rapidly reflects the consensus view of values,...but that doesn't mean the consensus is right.
Latest Thinking
All Rights Reserved Follow us: Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: Latest Thinking Travel to clients abroad and preoccupation with my coming book on cycles (final draft submitted just the other day) have combined to keep me from writing a memo since September, but fortunately not from thinking., , some readers of my July memo, “There They Go Again . . ., In September I observed that the cautionary July memo hadn’t said much with respect to what people actually should do about the markets, and I tried to remedy that., All Rights Reserved Follow us: As a result, we see a lot of the reaction that greeted my July memo: “the market’s expensive, but I think it has further to go.”, I wrote that in 1997, in a clients-only memo entitled “Are You an Investor or a Speculator?”
Whodunit
A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: OaktreeClients From: Howard M a r k s R e : Whodunit w h o · d u n · i t – ( h ō ō d u n ´ i t ) n . a n a r r a t i v e dealing with a murder or a series of murders and the detection of the criminal (The Random House Dictionary of the English Language) The subprime crisis, credit crunch and possible recession are subjects of daily conversation., It’s the purpose of this memo to say where I think responsibility lies., William Conway of Carlyle Group attracted a lot of attention – but perhaps not all he deserved – for a January 2007 memo to his Carlyle colleagues, in which he wrote: As you all know (I hope), the fabulous profits that we have been able to generate for our limited partners are not solely a function of our investment genius, but have resulted in large part from a great market and the availability of enormous amounts of cheap debt. . . ., My wife Nancy says she likes this memo more than most, because the lesson is so easy to understand.
Walking into the Unknown_Transcript
Looking over that year of memo writing, does anything jump out at you?, David The biggest theme, I think, of this year and the thing that I think people are going to look back on a year or so from now and talk about how amazing it was, and I’ll steal the theme from Howard’s Sea Change memo, but really, you have the ability to buy debt with an equity-like prospective return.
What Lies Ahead
A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: OaktreeClients From: HowardMarks Re: WhatLiesAhead?, I must admit that I haven't been looking forward to writing a memo about the economic and investment implications of the attacks.