298 results for "memo":
Showing 121 - 130 of 298 results
Knowledge of the Future
All Rights Reserved Follow us: Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: Knowledge of the Future As I showed by using it again in last week’s memo, I was impressed by the observation of Marc Lipsitch, Harvard epidemiologist, that there are (a) facts, (b) informed extrapolations from analogies to other viruses and (c) opinion or speculation., I chose the title of this memo because it’s such an oxymoron: there’s practically no such thing as meaningful knowledge regarding the future investment environment., Thus, this memo will be about some things people think they know but may not.
No Different This Time – The Lessons of ‘07
A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: OaktreeClients From: Howard M a r k s R e : NoDifferentThisTime – The Lessons of ‘07 On July 16, I published a memo called “It’s All Good.”, The bullish balloon remained unpunctured as of July 16, and some may have thought my memo unduly pessimistic., I don’t doubt that it is, and for that reason his statement calls to mind a 2005 memo titled “Hindsight First, Please (or, What Were They Thinking?).”, In August 1996, I wrote a memo showing that in the Wall Street Journal’s semi-annual poll of economists, on average the predictions are an extrapolation of the current condition.
It’s All Good
I’ve said in the past that I consider “You Can’t Predict,” a primer on cycles, to have been one of my best¸ and also that it evoked the least response of any memo in this decade., Thus I’m offering it as a twofer with this memo; copies are available on request at no additional cost., Thus I’m going to devote this memo to the cycle that’s been underway for the last few years., In this latter regard, I’ll reprint a few paragraphs from “First Quarter Performance,” the 1991 memo cited above., To continue a thread from my last memo, “Everyone Knows,” expecting widespread clinical observation during a market mania makes about as much sense as saying “everyone knows the market has gone too far.”
Investment Miscellany
A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: OaktreeClients From: HowardMarks Re: Investment Miscellany Because I've been encouraged by the response to my “bubble. com” and venture capital memos, I'm going to keep writing., Glassman's name may be familiar to you, because my memo of May 1, 2000 took issue with “Dow 36,000,” a book he co-authored., As I wrote in my May memo, investors rapidly incorporate new information into their estimates of security values, and the market rapidly reflects the consensus view of values,...but that doesn't mean the consensus is right.
Growing the Pie
Most of my January memo, Political Reality Meets Economic Reality, was devoted to fretting over the rise of populism from the left and the resulting anti-capitalist sentiment, and it has risen further since., In the January memo, I set forth my view that in the last 10-20 years, the rising economic tide had stopped lifting all boats., Ray Dalio and Bridgewater actually beat my memo by two days, publishing on January 28 an excellent note titled Populism + Weakening Economy + Limited Central Bank Power to Ease + Elections = Risky Markets and Risky Economies., In my January memo, I argued at length that capitalism can be credited with much of what made the United States what it is today., A lot of readers enjoyed the story in my January memo about the ten men who drank beer in a bar every night, with each paying according to his ability.
Mr. Market Miscalculates
All Rights Reserved Follow us: Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: Mr., I referred them to my 2016 memo On the Couch., I wrote over 33 years ago, in only my second memo: The mood swings of the securities markets resemble the movement of a pendulum. . . ., It’s highly applicable to the market tremor that inspired this memo.
More on Repealing the Laws of Economics
All Rights Reserved Follow us: Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: More on Repealing the Laws of Economics Last September, I wrote a memo titled Shall We Repeal the Laws of Economics?, Rent Control A prime example discussed in my September memo was rent control., On April 9, in my memo Nobody Knows (Yet Again), I guessed at President Trump’s goals in enacting them as follows: • support U.S. manufacturing • discourage imports • encourage exports • shrink or eliminate our trade deficit • make supply chains more secure through onshoring • deter unfair trade practices aimed at the U.S
Dare to Be Great
Memo to: OaktreeClients From: Howard M a r k s R e : DaretoBeGreat Inoneofthemost colorful vignettes of the early 1970s, Glenn Turner, the head of Koscot Interplanetary, would fly into a small Midwestern town in his Learjet (when that was a huge deal)., This memo stems from an accumulation of thoughts on the subject of how investment management clients might best pursue superior results., Typically my thoughts pile up, and then something prompts me to turn them into a memo., * * * I hope this memo won’t come across as preachy.
What Lies Ahead
A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: OaktreeClients From: HowardMarks Re: WhatLiesAhead?, I must admit that I haven't been looking forward to writing a memo about the economic and investment implications of the attacks.
Quo Vadis?
A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: OaktreeClients From: Howard M a r k s R e : Q u o V a d i s ?, I've been cautious for a long time – in fact, I don't remember ever having written a bullish piece on stocks – and this memo is unlikely to be any different.