298 results for "memo":
Showing 171 - 180 of 298 results
Taking the Temperature
Thus, I said so in the memo bubble.com, which was published as 2000 began., In July 2007, I published the memo It’s All Good, in which I was more emphatic (and had better timing): Where do we stand in the cycle?, Here’s how I put it in a memo I wrote that day: Skepticism and pessimism aren’t synonymous., This is how things stood in March 2012, when I wrote the memo Déjà Vu All Over Again., As I wrote in that same memo: What do we know?
Warning Flags
The inspiration for today’s memo came as my pile of clippings began to swell with indications that pre-crisis behavior is coming back., A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d 11 * * * I started this memo in late April, but I didn’t get it out before Greece’s financial crisis burst into full bloom last week., This gives me an opportunity to discuss the significance of the recent developments (not the substance, however; that’ll have to await another memo)., Just a few months ago, I published a memo called “Tell Me I’m Wrong” (January 22), in which I listed a number of things that worried me., Here’s how I concluded: My goal in this memo isn’t to express a forecast.
The Calculus of Value
All Rights Reserved Follow us: Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: The Calculus of Value On July 28, I flew to South America on a plane without Wi-Fi, leaving me without email or entertainment., What was I to do but start in on a memo?, * * * January 2 of this year was the 25 th anniversary of my memo bubble.com, the one that put my writing on the map, and I marked the occasion by publishing another memo, called On Bubble Watch., I think of assets that don’t produce operating cash flow or have the potential to do so in the future as not having earning power, and that makes them impossible to value objectively, analytically, or intrinsically (see my 2010 memo about gold, All That Glitters)., • I concluded in my January memo that this was troublesome but not threatening, again mostly because the temporary mania or “irrational exuberance” that I believe accompanies – or gives rise to – most bubbles wasn’t present.
Further Thoughts on Sea Change
In May, I wrote a follow-up memo to Sea Change (December 2022) that was shared exclusively with Oaktree clients., This memo was originally sent to Oaktree clients on May 30, 2023.1 This Time It Really Might Be Different On October 11, 1987, I first came across the saying “this time it’s different.”, As I mentioned in my December memo, the 13 years in question were a difficult, dreary, low-return period for credit investors, including Oaktree., When I got home, I wrote the memo and began to discuss its thesis., October 11, 2023 Endnotes 1 All market data cited in this memo is as of May 30, 2023.
The Rewind - You Can't Predict. You Can Prepare.
Howard looks back on this memo, originally published on November 20, 2001.
The Rewind - Dare to Be Great
Howard reflects on this memo originally published on September 7, 2006.
The Pendulum in International Affairs (Audio)
Howard Marks’s latest memo connects two seemingly unrelated trends – Europe’s energy dependence and U.S. offshoring – to explain why the pendulum of companies’ and countries’ behavior may be swinging away from globalization and toward onshoring.
Plan B
A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: OaktreeClients From: Howard M a r k s R e : Plan B O v e r t h e l a s t d e c a d e o r t w o , P l a n A c o n s i s t e d o f r e l ying on the free market to maximize economic growth and efficiency (as described in “The Aviary,” May 2008)., * * * The trouble with memo writing at times like these is that there’s always more.
How Quickly They Forget
Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: How Quickly They Forget In January 2004 I received a letter from Warren Buffett (how’s that for name dropping?), And that’s the point of this memo., Market Conditions Today In May 2005, I wrote a memo entitled “There They Go Again,” complaining that investors were taking excessive comfort from mindless platitude of the type that accompany and abet the creation of every bubble., In particular, in the 30 months following the publication of that memo, high yield bonds went on to return a total of 19.7%., Prudent Behavior in a Low-Return World The 2005 memo I mentioned earlier, “There They Go Again,” proceeded from the discussion of the low and flat risk/return curve contained in “Risk and Return Today” to ponder what investors might do in times of low prospective returns and risk premiums.
Déjà Vu All Over Again
Memo to: OaktreeClients From: Howard Marks Re: DéjàVuAll Over Again What good is history?, As I read it thoroughly for the first time in 33 years, my wife Nancy‟s battle cry rang out: “This calls for a memo.”, In fact, Yogi supplied the title for this memo, saying “It‟s déjà vu all over again.”, In the memo, I mentioned that California had undergone a five-year drought., One More Round I‟m amazed at how often, just as I‟m about to complete a memo, I come across the right coda with which to bring it to an end.