Commemorating 25 Years of Mastering the Market Cycle

.• 1988 marks the peak in S&L failures, part of a slow-moving crisis that would see more than 1,000 institutions fail. 1990 Oaktree • 1990: Howard writes his first investment memo, The Route to Performance , stating that “if you can avoid the losers (and losing years), the winners will take care of themselves.”, What is your favorite Oaktree memory?, It reminds me that the community and relationships we get to develop in our workplace are some of the most meaningful memories, and they stay with me., RM: One of my favorite Oaktree memories tracks back to the founding of the firm—namely the fact that nearly all of our colleagues at TCW decided to join our new venture., Earning clients’ trust and having a wonderful relationship with them have been some of the most important and memorable aspects of being part of Oaktree.

Investing in Mezzanine Debt

Any offer of securities or funds may only be made pursuant to a confidential private placement memorandum, subscription documents and constituent documents in their final form.

The Memo: Political Reality

The Folly of Certainty

The impetus for my memos can come from a wide variety of sources., It’ll be another of my “shortie” memos given the uncertain shelf life of the Biden candidacy., One is the extreme brevity of the financial memory.”, While these memos were on one of my favorite topics, they generated little response., Similarly, this past Saturday’s women’s final match at Wimbledon has provided a snippet for this memo.

Mr. Market Miscalculates

I referred them to my 2016 memo On the Couch., It’s highly applicable to the market tremor that inspired this memo., August 22, 2024 Legal Information and Disclosures This memorandum expresses the views of the author as of the date indicated and such views are subject to change without notice., This memorandum is being made available for educational purposes only and should not be used for any other purpose., This memorandum, including the information contained herein, may not be copied, reproduced, republished, or posted in whole or in part, in any form without the prior written consent of Oaktree

Nobody Knows (Yet Again)

I thought I should comment on these developments and the outlook, and the result was a memo called Nobody Knows, published four days later., In March 2020, I reused the title of the 2008 memo for Nobody Knows II, my first memo during the Covid-19 pandemic., The Uncertain Outlook In my February memo 2024 in Review, which went only to clients, I said the word to describe the Trump administration was “uncertainty.”, Truly nobody knows, and a lot of this memo will be about things we can’t know for sure., This memorandum is being made available for educational purposes only and should not be used for any other purpose.

1991-04-11-first-quarter-client-performance

A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: Clients From: Howard M a r k s T r u s t C o mpany of the West Re: FirstQuarter Performance The mood swings of the securities markets resemble the movement of a pendulum., A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Legal Information and Disclosures This memorandum expresses the views of the author as of the date indicated and such views are subject to change without notice., This memorandum is being made available for educational purposes only and should not be used for any other purpose., This memorandum, including the information contained herein, may not be copied, reproduced, republished, or posted in whole or in part, in any form without the prior written consent of Oaktree.

1992-10-08-microeconomics

A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: Clients From: Howard M a r k s Re: Microeconomics 101: Supply, Demand and Convertibles Two principal factors determine whether an investment will be successful., A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Legal Information and Disclosures This memorandum expresses the views of the author as of the date indicated and such views are subject to change without notice., This memorandum is being made available for educational purposes only and should not be used for any other purpose., This memorandum, including the information contained herein, may not be copied, reproduced, republished, or posted in whole or in part, in any form without the prior written consent of Oaktree.

1994-02-17-risk-in-todays-markets

A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo To: Clients From: HowardS.Marks,TCW Re: RiskinToday's Markets The ability of the stock market to react so harshly on February 4 to a small, Fed- mandated rise in interest rates, pushing the Dow down 96 points, suggests a lack of preparedness for negative developments., A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Legal Information and Disclosures This memorandum expresses the views of the author as of the date indicated and such views are subject to change without notice., This memorandum is being made available for educational purposes only and should not be used for any other purpose., This memorandum, including the information contained herein, may not be copied, reproduced, republished, or posted in whole or in part, in any form without the prior written consent of Oaktree.

2001-07-11-whats-it-all-about-alpha

A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: OaktreeClients From: HowardMarks Re: What's It All About, Alpha?, With apologies to Burt Bacharach and Dionne Warwick, whose 1966 rendition for the movie "Alfie" was much more artistic, I couldn't resist adapting their title for a memo on investment theory., Rather than reinvent my own wheel, I'll lift parts of my memo "Irrational Exuberance" from May 2000., This memorandum is being made available for educational purposes only and should not be used for any other purpose., This memorandum, including the information contained herein, may not be copied, reproduced, republished, or posted in whole or in part, in any form without the prior written consent of Oaktree.