303 results for "memo":

Showing 171 - 180 of 303 results

Further Thoughts on Sea Change

All Rights Reserved Follow us: Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks R e: Further Thoughts on Sea Change In May, I wrote a follow-up memo to Sea Change (December 2022) that was shared exclusively with Oaktree clients., In Further Thoughts on Sea Change, I argued that the trends I had highlighted in the original memo collectively represented a sweeping alteration of the investment environment that called for significant capital reallocation., This memo was originally sent to Oaktree clients on May 30, 2023. 1 This Time It Really Might Be Different On October 11, 1987, I first came across the saying “this time it’s different.”, As I mentioned in my December memo, the 13 years in question were a difficult, dreary, low-return period for credit investors, including Oaktree., When I got home, I wrote the memo and began to discuss its thesis.

The Folly of Certainty

And, with that, I had the subject of this memo: not whether Biden will continue campaigning or drop out – or whether he’ll win if he continues – but rather how anyone can be without doubt., , has supplied an interesting tidbit for this memo on the subject of economists’ conclusions: I use the Philly Fed’s Anxious Index (the probability of a decline in real GDP in the upcoming quarter) as an indicator that a recession has ended., Back in mid-2020, when the pandemic seemed to have become a more or less understood phenomenon, I slowed the pace of my memo writing from the one-a-week pattern of March and April., P.S.: Last summer’s Grand Slam tennis tournaments provided the inspiration for my memo Fewer Losers, or More Winners?, Similarly, this past Saturday’s women’s final match at Wimbledon has provided a snippet for this memo.

Hemlines

 Memo to: OaktreeClients From: Howard M a rks Re: Hemlines While the details change, the pendulum-like fluctuation of investment styles is a constant., This memo will be about recurring patterns, the history of stocks and bonds as I know it, and the adage’s applicability to that history., (Given that I average a memo every couple of months, I find the very idea daunting.)

The Roundup: Top Takeaways from Oaktree’s Quarterly Letters - June 2023 Edition

As a bonus, we’ve also included an excerpt from Howard Marks’s recent memo to clients. 1 Market Outlook: Tug-of-War Howard Marks Co-Chairman The overarching theme of my sea-change thinking is that, largely thanks to highly accommodative monetary policy, we went through unusually easy times in a number of important regards over a prolonged period, but that time is over., Thus, after decades of accommodative monetary policy, cheap debt, and robust equity returns, we may now be entering a new era, as our co-chairman Howard Marks eloquently described in his 2022 memo Sea Change.

Down to the Wire

Memo to: OaktreeClients From: Howard M a r k s R e : DowntotheWire Here are the ingredients in the plot: A problem everyone’s aware of., I’ve decided to devote a memo to the debt issue and its significance.

Thinking About Macro

To invert the Buffett quote that began this memo, the macro future may not be knowable, but it certainly is important., That’s why I’m devoting a memo to a subject I largely disavow., As a result, I wrote a memo saying the market needed a trip to a psychiatrist (On the Couch, January 14, 2016)., I concluded my 2016 memo What Does the Market Know?, The answer lies in the title of a 2002 memo of mine: You Can’t Predict.

Expert Opinion

All Rights Reserved Follow us: Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: Expert Opinion In August, I mentioned that I had chosen the title “Political Reality” for my memo in part because of my liking for oxymorons., This memo was inspired by a thought that popped into my head when the outcome of the election settled in., You may point out that at the end of my November 14 memo “Go Figure!, Anyway, this memo isn’t about politics, it’s about opinions., I’ll start this memo by reflecting on them.

I Beg to Differ

The Essential Difference In 2006, I wrote a memo called Dare to Be Great., Talk about simple – in the memo, I reduced the issue to a single sentence: “This just in: You can’t take the same actions as everyone else and expect to outperform.”, Thus, in 2014, I followed up on 2006’s Dare to Be Great with a memo creatively titled Dare to Be Great II., And yet, as I mentioned in my January memo, Selling Out, the S&P 500 has returned about 10½% a year on average over that century-plus., Ever since I quoted Bill Miller in that memo, I’ve been impressed by his formulation that “it’s time, not timing” that leads to real wealth accumulation.

Conversation at Panmure House

In the late ’90s, I wrote a memo called What's It All About, Alpha?, In the spring of 2007, I wrote a memo called The Race to the Bottom., PS: I’d like to talk more about the memo Investing Without People ., In the memo Investing Without People, there are three sections., The conversation on pp. 7-8 of the pdf of this memo is for illustrative purposes only.

How Quickly They Forget

Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: How Quickly They Forget In January 2004 I received a letter from Warren Buffett (how’s that for name dropping?), And that’s the point of this memo., Market Conditions Today In May 2005, I wrote a memo entitled “There They Go Again,” complaining that investors were taking excessive comfort from mindless platitude of the type that accompany and abet the creation of every bubble., In particular, in the 30 months following the publication of that memo, high yield bonds went on to return a total of 19.7%., Prudent Behavior in a Low-Return World The 2005 memo I mentioned earlier, “There They Go Again,” proceeded from the discussion of the low and flat risk/return curve contained in “Risk and Return Today” to ponder what investors might do in times of low prospective returns and risk premiums.