292 results for "memo":
Showing 191 - 200 of 292 results
The Calculus of Value
All Rights Reserved Follow us: Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: The Calculus of Value On July 28, I flew to South America on a plane without Wi-Fi, leaving me without email or entertainment., What was I to do but start in on a memo?, * * * January 2 of this year was the 25 th anniversary of my memo bubble.com, the one that put my writing on the map, and I marked the occasion by publishing another memo, called On Bubble Watch., I think of assets that don’t produce operating cash flow or have the potential to do so in the future as not having earning power, and that makes them impossible to value objectively, analytically, or intrinsically (see my 2010 memo about gold, All That Glitters)., • I concluded in my January memo that this was troublesome but not threatening, again mostly because the temporary mania or “irrational exuberance” that I believe accompanies – or gives rise to – most bubbles wasn’t present.
Conversation at Panmure House
In the late ’90s, I wrote a memo called What's It All About, Alpha?, In the spring of 2007, I wrote a memo called The Race to the Bottom., PS: I’d like to talk more about the memo Investing Without People ., In the memo Investing Without People, there are three sections., The conversation on pp. 7-8 of the pdf of this memo is for illustrative purposes only.
Plan B
A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: OaktreeClients From: Howard M a r k s R e : Plan B O v e r t h e l a s t d e c a d e o r t w o , P l a n A c o n s i s t e d o f r e l ying on the free market to maximize economic growth and efficiency (as described in “The Aviary,” May 2008)., * * * The trouble with memo writing at times like these is that there’s always more.
Hows the Market
A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: OaktreeClients From: HowardMarks Re: How's the Market?
Ruminating on Asset Allocation
When I travel to see clients and spend entire days discussing investing and the markets, memo ideas often pop up., Before I proceed, I want to mention that, from time to time in this memo, I’ll say “generally,” “usually,” or “everything else being equal.”, For the purposes of this memo, however, it might help to think of it as “fixed outcome” investing., The Essential Choice At the outset of this memo, I listed some of the decisions that comprise the asset allocation process., So, in a memo in 2006, I took the same line and superimposed on it some bell-shaped curves representing probability distributions turned on their side.
Further Thoughts on Sea Change
All Rights Reserved Follow us: Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks R e: Further Thoughts on Sea Change In May, I wrote a follow-up memo to Sea Change (December 2022) that was shared exclusively with Oaktree clients., In Further Thoughts on Sea Change, I argued that the trends I had highlighted in the original memo collectively represented a sweeping alteration of the investment environment that called for significant capital reallocation., This memo was originally sent to Oaktree clients on May 30, 2023. 1 This Time It Really Might Be Different On October 11, 1987, I first came across the saying “this time it’s different.”, As I mentioned in my December memo, the 13 years in question were a difficult, dreary, low-return period for credit investors, including Oaktree., When I got home, I wrote the memo and began to discuss its thesis.
Etorre's Wisdom
A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: OaktreeClients From: HowardMarks Re: Etorre's Wisdom My memos evoke a wide variety of reactions., This memo will serve as a good example: it was inspired by a ride I took this summer with my son Andrew.
Commemorating 25 Years of Mastering the Market Cycle
.• 1988 marks the peak in S&L failures, part of a slow-moving crisis that would see more than 1,000 institutions fail. 1990 Oaktree • 1990: Howard writes his first investment memo, The Route to Performance , stating that “if you can avoid the losers (and losing years), the winners will take care of themselves.”, In particular, they’re rattled once again in 1998 when prominent hedge fund Long-Term Capital Management melts down. 2000 Oaktree • 2000: In his first memo of the new century, Howard expresses caution regarding the dot-com bubble: “To say [tech stocks] have benefited from a boom of colossal proportions and should be examined very skeptically is something I feel I owe you.”• Starting in late 2004, Oaktree begins to invest in smaller amounts and more cautiously, as its portfolio managers detect “too much trust and too little worry” in the markets.• 2007: Oaktree begins to gear up for an expanded opportunity for distressed debt investing.• Late 2008: In the last 15 weeks of 2008, in the face of widespread fear of a systemic collapse of financial markets, Oaktree invests ~$600 million per week following the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers.• 2009:
Getting Lucky
Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: Getting Lucky Sometimes these memos are inspired by a single event or just one thing I read., This one – like my first memo 24 years ago – grew out of the juxtaposition of two observations., The Role of Luck The first inspiration for this memo came in early November, when I picked up a copy of the Four Seasons Magazine in my hotel room in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia., The second inspiration for this memo came from a report entitled Alpha and the Paradox of Skill by Michael Mauboussin of Credit Suisse.
Thinking About Macro
To invert the Buffett quote that began this memo, the macro future may not be knowable, but it certainly is important., That’s why I’m devoting a memo to a subject I largely disavow., As a result, I wrote a memo saying the market needed a trip to a psychiatrist (On the Couch, January 14, 2016)., I concluded my 2016 memo What Does the Market Know?, The answer lies in the title of a 2002 memo of mine: You Can’t Predict.