303 results for "memo":
Showing 191 - 200 of 303 results
Us and Them
A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: OaktreeClients From: Howard M a rks Re: UsandThem As a kid, I – and probably you – viewed the world in simple terms., In my memo “Returns and How They Get That Way” (November 2002), I gave examples from a brilliant dichotomization propounded by Nicholas Taleeb., May 7, 2004 P.s.: As I wrote this memo, one thing pained me, and I want to address it: I found myself constantly writing “he,” even though I absolutely do not think investing skill is gender-related., So please bear with me; I’m really an equal opportunity memo writer
Go Figure
All Rights Reserved Follow us: Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: Go Figure!, That behavior calls to mind my January memo, “On the Couch,” on the subject of the market’s irrationality., In that memo, I included a cartoon showing a newscaster saying, “Everything that was good for the market yesterday was no good for it today.”, * * * This is the last memo on politics for a while, I hope (as may you).
Hows the Market
A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: OaktreeClients From: HowardMarks Re: How's the Market?
Plan B
A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: OaktreeClients From: Howard M a r k s R e : Plan B O v e r t h e l a s t d e c a d e o r t w o , P l a n A c o n s i s t e d o f r e l ying on the free market to maximize economic growth and efficiency (as described in “The Aviary,” May 2008)., * * * The trouble with memo writing at times like these is that there’s always more.
Cockroaches in the Coal Mine
As I mentioned in my memo Gimme Credit in March, the thing people have asked me about most often over the last few years is private credit., As I pointed out in my memo What Does the Market Know?, Investors’ risk tolerance grows, and they tend to focus less on due diligence and more on bidding aggressively for deals (see my memo The Race to the Bottom, February 2007)., One I haven’t mentioned since my memo The Long View in 2009 is the “bezzle,” a concept Galbraith introduced in his book The Great Crash 1929.
Time for Thinking
My memo writing followed suit: one a week for the first six weeks, and a total of ten over 18 weeks., After starting off at that rapid clip, I haven’t issued a memo in more than a month – which might seem like a long interval until you realize the norm in recent years has been only one per quarter., All Rights Reserved Follow us: the end of this memo for postscript in which I discuss the significance of that reported 32.9% decline.), And in a memo on this subject in June of last year, I wrote, “in areas like technology and digital business models, I’d bet things will be different more than the 20% of the time Templeton cited.”, However, thinking about the results in connection with writing this memo raised some questions: • I had immediately assumed Q2 GDP was down $1.81 trillion, or 32.9%, from Q2 of last year.
Sea Change
As I wrote in the memo On the Couch (January 2016), whereas events in the real world fluctuate between “pretty good” and “not so hot,” investor sentiment often careens from “flawless” to “hopeless” as events that were previously viewed as benign come to be interpreted as catastrophic.
Ruminating on Asset Allocation
All Rights Reserved Follow us: Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: Ruminating on Asset Allocation When I travel to see clients and spend entire days discussing investing and the markets, memo ideas often pop up., B efore I proceed, I want to mention that, from time to time in this memo, I’ll say “generally,” “usually,” or “everything else being equal.”, For the purposes of this memo, however, it might help to think of it as “fixed outcome” investing., The Essential Choice At the outset of this memo, I listed some of the decisions that comprise the asset allocation process., So, in a memo in 2006, I took the same line and superimposed on it some bell-shaped curves representing probability distributions turned on their side.
Mr. Market Miscalculates
I referred them to my 2016 memo On the Couch., As I wrote over 33 years ago, in only my second memo: The mood swings of the securities markets resemble the movement of a pendulum. . . . between euphoria and depression, between celebrating positive developments and obsessing over negatives, and thus between overpriced and underpriced., It’s highly applicable to the market tremor that inspired this memo.
The Impact of Debt
My partner Bruce Karsh recently supplied me with a newspaper article about chess that inspired me to write a brief memo called The Indispensability of Risk ., Thus encouraged, I’m following up with another short memo., Housel’s approach to thinking about debt – and especially his illustrations – reminded me of my December 2008 memo, Volatility + Leverage = Dynamite ., (Unless otherwise indicated, this memo is the source of the quotations that follow; in all cases, emphasis is in the original.), In that memo, I used a series of simple graphics to show that the lower a company’s debt load is, the greater the decline in fortune it could survive.