305 results for "memo":

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Hows the Market

A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: OaktreeClients From: HowardMarks Re: How's the Market?

Warning Flags

The inspiration for today’s memo came as my pile of clippings began to swell with indications that pre-crisis behavior is coming back., A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d 11 * * * I started this memo in late April, but I didn’t get it out before Greece’s financial crisis burst into full bloom last week., This gives me an opportunity to discuss the significance of the recent developments (not the substance, however; that’ll have to await another memo)., Just a few months ago, I published a memo called “Tell Me I’m Wrong” (January 22), in which I listed a number of things that worried me., Here’s how I concluded: My goal in this memo isn’t to express a forecast.

The Calculus of Value

All Rights Reserved Follow us: Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: The Calculus of Value On July 28, I flew to South America on a plane without Wi-Fi, leaving me without email or entertainment., What was I to do but start in on a memo?, * * * January 2 of this year was the 25 th anniversary of my memo bubble.com, the one that put my writing on the map, and I marked the occasion by publishing another memo, called On Bubble Watch., I think of assets that don’t produce operating cash flow or have the potential to do so in the future as not having earning power, and that makes them impossible to value objectively, analytically, or intrinsically (see my 2010 memo about gold, All That Glitters)., • I concluded in my January memo that this was troublesome but not threatening, again mostly because the temporary mania or “irrational exuberance” that I believe accompanies – or gives rise to – most bubbles wasn’t present.

Mr. Market Miscalculates

I referred them to my 2016 memo On the Couch., As I wrote over 33 years ago, in only my second memo: The mood swings of the securities markets resemble the movement of a pendulum. . . . between euphoria and depression, between celebrating positive developments and obsessing over negatives, and thus between overpriced and underpriced., It’s highly applicable to the market tremor that inspired this memo.

Dare to Be Great II

All Rights Reserved Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: Dareto Be Great II In September 2006, I wrote a memo entitled Dare to Be Great, with suggestions on how institutional investors might approach the goal of achieving superior investment results.,  Most importantly for the purposes of this memo, how will you define success, and what risks will you take to achieve it?, In the memo I mentioned my favorite fortune cookie: “the cautious seldom err or write great poetry.”, This goes all the way back to the beginning of this memo, and each organization’s need to establish its creed., Some of this comes from my last memo, on the role of luck

Now It’s All Bad?

A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: OaktreeClients From: HowardMarks Re: NowIt’sAllBad?, It all reminds me of a point I made in my second memo, “First Quarter Performance” (April 1991): Although the midpoint of its arc best describes the location of the pendulum “on average,” it actually spends very little of its time there.

Ruminating on Asset Allocation

When I travel to see clients and spend entire days discussing investing and the markets, memo ideas often pop up., Before I proceed, I want to mention that, from time to time in this memo, I’ll say “generally,” “usually,” or “everything else being equal.”, For the purposes of this memo, however, it might help to think of it as “fixed outcome” investing., The Essential Choice At the outset of this memo, I listed some of the decisions that comprise the asset allocation process., So, in a memo in 2006, I took the same line and superimposed on it some bell-shaped curves representing probability distributions turned on their side.

What's It All About Alpha

A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: OaktreeClients From: HowardMarks Re: What's It All About, Alpha?, With apologies to Burt Bacharach and Dionne Warwick, whose 1966 rendition for the movie "Alfie" was much more artistic, I couldn't resist adapting their title for a memo on investment theory., Rather than reinvent my own wheel, I'll lift parts of my memo "Irrational Exuberance" from May 2000.

What's Going On

A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: OaktreeClients From: Howard M a r k s R e : What's Going On?, The process of thinking about those subjects has given rise to this memo., UThe Market Cycle at Its Wildest In a memo on cycles entitled "You Can't Predict.

The Limits to Negativism

A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: OaktreeClients From: Howard M a r k s R e : TheLimits to Negativism The markets acted on Monday as if the credit crisis is behind us – how incredible it is to be able to even write those words, whether true or not., (I developed these thoughts last week but just wasn’t quick enough to turn them into a memo., As Bruce Karsh and I wrote ten days ago in a memo to investors in our Opportunities Funds for distressed debt, “. . . in a few years we’ll reminisce together about how easy it was to take advantage of the bargains of 2008-09.”