292 results for "memo":
Showing 211 - 220 of 292 results
The Tide Goes Out
Memo to: OaktreeClients From: Howard M a r k s Re: TheTideGoesOut Foreveryperiod,there’saquotationwhichservesperfectlytoexplainwhat’s going on, and I often find myself borrowing it., In my December memo “No Different This Time” I listed twelve lessons of 2007.
Touchstones
A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: OaktreeClients From: Howard M a r k s R e : Touchstones I n t h e t w o - p l u s y e a r s s i n c e t h e o n set of the financial crisis, it’s been a regular theme of mine that we should look back, identify the causes and learn from them., “It’s Only When the Tide Goes Out That You Find Out Who’s Been Swimming Naked” When I came across the above quotation from Warren Buffett, I borrowed it for “It’s All Good” (July 16, 2007) and later devoted an entire memo to it (“The Tide Goes Out,” March 18, 2008).
Cockroaches in the Coal Mine
As I mentioned in my memo Gimme Credit in March, the thing people have asked me about most often over the last few years is private credit., As I pointed out in my memo What Does the Market Know?, Investors’ risk tolerance grows, and they tend to focus less on due diligence and more on bidding aggressively for deals (see my memo The Race to the Bottom, February 2007)., One I haven’t mentioned since my memo The Long View in 2009 is the “bezzle,” a concept Galbraith introduced in his book The Great Crash 1929.
Time for Thinking
My memo writing followed suit: one a week for the first six weeks, and a total of ten over 18 weeks., After starting off at that rapid clip, I haven’t issued a memo in more than a month – which might seem like a long interval until you realize the norm in recent years has been only one per quarter., All Rights Reserved Follow us: the end of this memo for postscript in which I discuss the significance of that reported 32.9% decline.), And in a memo on this subject in June of last year, I wrote, “in areas like technology and digital business models, I’d bet things will be different more than the 20% of the time Templeton cited.”, However, thinking about the results in connection with writing this memo raised some questions: • I had immediately assumed Q2 GDP was down $1.81 trillion, or 32.9%, from Q2 of last year.
Political Reality
All Rights Reserved Follow us: Memo to: OaktreeClients From: Howard M a rks Re: Political R e a lity My last memo, in May, was on the subject of “Economic Reality.”, I have no interest in writing a memo about Brexit itself., Economic Reality: Choices and Consequences The May memo described the ways in which economics defines and constrains reality in business, investing and everyday life., All Rights Reserved Follow us: Topull this part of the memo together, I can’t overstate my appreciation for the way Thomas Friedman described the UK’s situation in The New York Times on June 29: A major European power, a long-time defender of liberal democracy, pluralism and free markets, falls under the sway of a few cynical politicians who see a chance to exploit public fears of immigration to advance their careers., All Rights Reserved Follow us: * * * I wrote this memo to explain what happened in the UK this year and what I think is happening in the U.S.
The Winds of Change
All Rights Reserved Follow us: Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks R e: The Winds of Change The last 20 months have been a most unusual period, thanks primarily to the pandemic, yet many things feel like they haven’t changed over that time span., Yet there are changes taking place, and they’ll be the subject of this memo., All Rights Reserved Follow us: In my January memo, Something of Value, I described some of the changes technology is making in the business world., But it has to be part of a memo that purports to discuss important changes that are underway., Senior economics consultant Neil Irwin summed up our situation very well in The New York Times on April 16, 2020 (I borrowed this quote for inclusion in my May 2020 memo Uncertainty.): The world economy is an infinitely complicated web of interconnections.
The Happy Medium
A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: OaktreeClients From: Howard M a rks Re: TheHappy Medium My second general memo to clients was dated April 11, 1991 and imaginatively titled “First Quarter Performance.”, (Emphasis added) Although I’ve learned a great deal in the time since that memo was published, I still think the paragraphs excerpted above capture almost the entire essence of market movements., In November 2001 I wrote a memo on this subject entitled “You Can’t Predict., The memo discussed some of the cycles that affect the investor: The economic cycle evidences moderate fluctuations (although their impact can be profound)., The theme of this memo will be that the cyclical phenomena that so heavily influence our investment outcomes aren’t caused by the operation of institutions or physical laws.
On the Couch
All Rights Reserved Follow us: Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: On the Couch I woke up early on Saturday, December 12 – the morning after a day of significant declines in stocks, credit and crude oil – with enough thoughts going through my mind to keep me from going back to sleep., Thus I moved to my desk to start a memo that would pull them together., This memo is my attempt to send the markets to the psychiatrist’s couch, and an exploration of what might be learned there. 2012-14: An Uncertain World In September 2012, I wrote a memo called “On Uncertain Ground.”, Almost 25 years ago, in my second memo (“First Quarter Performance,” April 1991), I introduced the concept of the investment pendulum: Although the midpoint of its arc best describes the location of the pendulum “on average,” it actually spends very little of its time there., Case In Point – Oil On December 12, as I began to write this memo, the Financial Times provided several examples of the negative thinking being applied.
First Quarter Client Performance
A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: Clients From: Howard M a r k s T r u s t C o mpany of the West Re: FirstQuarter Performance The mood swings of the securities markets resemble the movement of a pendulum.
Returns and How They Get That Way
Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: Returns and How They Get That Way "Where do babies come from?", The Role of Luck To end this memo on returns, I want to spend a few pages discussing the part played by randomness (or luck or chance).