292 results for "memo":
Showing 221 - 230 of 292 results
Volatility Leverage Dynamite
The last few years have provided a great demonstration of how dangerous it can be to combine leverage with risky assets, and that’s the subject of this memo., It’ll also pick up on some ideas from my last memo, “The Limits to Negativism.”, My memo “Plan B” on the bailout proposal went out on September 24, and as I lay in bed later that night, I realized that I hadn’t taken one part of it nearly far enough., That’s true as far as it goes, but I’m going to devote this memo to things which could have followed that paragraph., This memo calls on investors to gauge risk and use only appropriate leverage.
First Quarter Client Performance
A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: Clients From: Howard M a r k s T r u s t C o mpany of the West Re: FirstQuarter Performance The mood swings of the securities markets resemble the movement of a pendulum.
Microeconomics
A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: Clients From: Howard M a r k s Re: Microeconomics 101: Supply, Demand and Convertibles Two principal factors determine whether an investment will be successful.
On the Couch
All Rights Reserved Follow us: Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: On the Couch I woke up early on Saturday, December 12 – the morning after a day of significant declines in stocks, credit and crude oil – with enough thoughts going through my mind to keep me from going back to sleep., Thus I moved to my desk to start a memo that would pull them together., This memo is my attempt to send the markets to the psychiatrist’s couch, and an exploration of what might be learned there. 2012-14: An Uncertain World In September 2012, I wrote a memo called “On Uncertain Ground.”, Almost 25 years ago, in my second memo (“First Quarter Performance,” April 1991), I introduced the concept of the investment pendulum: Although the midpoint of its arc best describes the location of the pendulum “on average,” it actually spends very little of its time there., Case In Point – Oil On December 12, as I began to write this memo, the Financial Times provided several examples of the negative thinking being applied.
The Insight Conversations - On the Lookout
Harry We l l , l o o k i n g a t t h e e q u i t y ’s point again, we must mention Howard’s latest memo, Calculus of Va l u e , o u t We d n e s d a y, the 14th of August., Harry Howard does say in the memo, basically, anybody under the age of 35 hasn’t seen a proper crisis.
Hedge Funds a Case for Caution
A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: OaktreeClients From: Howard M a r k s R e : HedgeFunds:ACaseforCaution Onceuponatime there was an asset class., I think they also exhibit many of the traits associated with the venture capital boom described on page one of this memo, including widespread investor participation., A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d magnitude of the hedge fund movement, a memo on the subject has become inevitable., To start bringing this memo to a close, I’ll cite John Moon and Tim Jensen’s apt enumeration of the possible outcomes in our Emerging Markets Fund’s second quarter letter: We have no idea if the hedge fund boom will peter out after several years of mediocre performance, end in another [Long-Term Capital Management] crescendo, or continue until all money is either indexed or run by hedge funds.
Who Knew
A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: OaktreeClientsandFriends From: HowardMarks Re: WhoKnew?, And yet, in my last memo on September 3, 1997, I may actually have made a correct prediction, as follows: What could cause a market decline?
Gimme Credit
Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: Gimme Credit The questions I get from clients enable me to understand in real time what’s on their minds., Ever since interest rates got up off the floor in 2022, there’s been increased interest in credit, and that’s why I’m devoting this memo to it., I’ve written so much about this that I’m not going to belabor it further (see my memo Ruminating on Asset Allocation, October 2024), but I’m always available to talk., Credit Ve rsus Equities I’ve written about equity valuations – primarily referencing the Standard & Poor’s 500 – as recently as this January in my memo On Bubble Wa tch.
The Anatomy of a Rally
All Rights Reserved Follow us: Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: The Anatomy of a Rally The background is well known to all, The possible reasons for the markets’ recovery are many and, as I write this memo, the list is growing as people find more things to take positively., In my memo, On the Couch (January 2016), I wrote that: That’s one of the crazy things: in the real world, things generally fluctuate between “pretty good” and “not so hot.”
What Worries Me
A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: OaktreeClients From: Howard M a r k s R e : What Worries M e E s p e c i a l l y i n t i mes like these, people often ask what keeps me up at night., I’m not going to spend this memo discussing things as mundane as investment cycles, or as cosmic as environmental deterioration, global warming or terrorism., I hope this memo will be well received., But I hope this memo will raise some questions in readers’ minds and contribute to constructive debate., * * * I hope you’ll consider this memo constructive, and that it’ll inform or inspire debate.