286 results for "memo":
Showing 71 - 80 of 286 results
The Pendulum in International Affairs
The following is only a partial list of my writings on the subject: My second memo, written in April 1991, was creatively titled First Quarter Performance., My very first memo, The Route to Performance, resulted from two events I witnessed in short order, the juxtaposition of which led to what I thought was an important observation., At a recent meeting of the Brookfield Asset Management board, a discussion of Ukraine triggered an association with another aspect of international affairs – offshoring – which I first discussed in the memo Economic Reality (May 2016)., Thus the inspiration for this memo., But I think juxtaposing them is informative . . . and worthy of a memo.
Thinking About Macro
To invert the Buffett quote that began this memo, the macro future may not be knowable, but it certainly is important., That’s why I’m devoting a memo to a subject I largely disavow., As a result, I wrote a memo saying the market needed a trip to a psychiatrist (On the Couch, January 14, 2016)., I concluded my 2016 memo What Does the Market Know?, The answer lies in the title of a 2001 memo of mine: You Can’t Predict.
Performing Credit Quarterly 1Q2023
As part of the discussion, they explore Howard’s memo Lessons from Silicon Valley Bank.
Taking the Temperature
In his latest memo, Howard Marks discusses five market calls he’s made during his career.
The Value of Predictions II or Give That Man a Cigar
A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo To: OaktreeClients From: HowardMarks Re: TheValueofPredictionsII(or"GiveThatManaCigar") Date: July22, 1996 In a February 1993 memo entitled "The Value of Predictions," I expressed my negative opinion of attempts to predict the macro-future., I pointed out in my 1993 memo that most of the time, you can't get superior results with inaccurate forecasts or with accurate forecasts that reflect the consensus.
A Case in Point
A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: OaktreeClients From: Howard M a r k s R e : ACaseinPoint Lastmonth, my memo “There They Go Again” discussed investors’ propensity to repeat certain classic mistakes., Needing a new “gig,” Thorp turned his attention to another field in which subjective judgment could be improved upon through computer simulation: convertible arbitrage (I’ll bet you were wondering what blackjack had to do with the subject of this memo)., Anyway, this isn’t a memo about convertible arbitrage, but about investors’ persistent mistakes.
High Yield Bonds Today
Memo to: OaktreeHighYieldBondClients From: HowardMarksandSheldonStone Re: HighYieldBondsToday Clientsoftenaskforourviewsonthehighyieldbondmarket: “Do we think prices are too high?”, (This is in essence what Howard concluded in his most recent memo, “Ditto.”)
Taking the Temperature
Thus, I said so in the memo bubble.com, which was published as 2000 began., In July 2007, I published the memo It’s All Good, in which I was more emphatic (and had better timing): Where do we stand in the cycle?, Here’s how I put it in a memo I wrote that day: Skepticism and pessimism aren’t synonymous., This is how things stood in March 2012, when I wrote the memo Déjà Vu All Over Again., As I wrote in that same memo: What do we know?
The Indispensability of Risk
That’s why I’ve written a memo comparing investing to sports in each of the four decades I’ve been writing memos and one connecting investing and card playing in 2020., The motivation for this memo comes from an article in The Wall Street Journal of April 12 that my partner Bruce Karsh sent me entitled “Chess Teaches the Power of Sacrifice” by Maurice Ashley, a chess grandmaster who has been inducted into the U.S., Few people know that Bruce is a chess player, and I hadn’t thought about this fact for years, but the article provided a good reminder and moved me to dash off this memo., Relevant lessons from sports (included in past memos) are easily accessed and also very helpful: • “You miss 100% of the shots you don’t take.” – Wayne Gretzky, NHL Hall of Famer • “You have to give yourself a chance to fail.” – Kenny “The Jet” Smith, two-time NBA champion I’ll sum up with a paragraph from my memo of last September, Fewer Losers, or More Winners?
On Bubble Watch
The memo had two things going for it: it was right, and it was right fast., Some of what I write here will be familiar to anyone who read my December memo about the macro picture., But that memo only went to Oaktree clients, so I’m going to recycle here the part of its content that relates to the subject of bubbles., As many of my memo readers know, I joined the equity research department at First National City Bank (now Citi) in September 1969., * * * As I said at the start of this memo, I’m not an equity investor, and I’m certainly no expert on technology.