233 results for "memo":

Showing 81 - 90 of 233 results

Growing the Pie

Most of my January memo, Political Reality Meets Economic Reality, was devoted to fretting over the rise of populism from the left and the resulting anti-capitalist sentiment, and it has risen further since., In the January memo, I set forth my view that in the last 10-20 years, the rising economic tide had stopped lifting all boats., Ray Dalio and Bridgewater actually beat my memo by two days, publishing on January 28 an excellent note titled Populism + Weakening Economy + Limited Central Bank Power to Ease + Elections = Risky Markets and Risky Economies., In my January memo, I argued at length that capitalism can be credited with much of what made the United States what it is today., A lot of readers enjoyed the story in my January memo about the ten men who drank beer in a bar every night, with each paying according to his ability.

Taking the Temperature

Thus, I said so in the memo bubble.com, which was published as 2000 began., In July 2007, I published the memo It’s All Good, in which I was more emphatic (and had better timing): Where do we stand in the cycle?, Here’s how I put it in a memo I wrote that day: Skepticism and pessimism aren’t synonymous., This is how things stood in March 2012, when I wrote the memo Déjà Vu All Over Again., As I wrote in that same memo: What do we know?

On Bubble Watch

Exactly 25 years ago today, I published the first memo that brought a response from readers (after having written for almost ten years without receiving any)., The memo had two things going for it: it was right, and it was right fast., Some of what I write here will be familiar to anyone who read my December memo about the macro picture., But that memo only went to Oaktree clients, so I’m going to recycle here the part of its content that relates to the subject of bubbles., As many of my memo readers know, I joined the equity research department at First National City Bank (now Citi) in September 1969.

Further Thoughts on Sea Change

In May, I wrote a follow-up memo to Sea Change (December 2022) that was shared exclusively with Oaktree clients., This memo was originally sent to Oaktree clients on May 30, 2023.1 This Time It Really Might Be Different On October 11, 1987, I first came across the saying “this time it’s different.”, As I mentioned in my December memo, the 13 years in question were a difficult, dreary, low-return period for credit investors, including Oaktree., When I got home, I wrote the memo and began to discuss its thesis., October 11, 2023 Endnotes 1 All market data cited in this memo is as of May 30, 2023.

BTM Fewer Losers or More Winners

 1 Transcript Insights Behind the Memo: Fewer Losers, or More Winners?, Anna Szymanski Hello, and welcome to Behind the Memo with Howard Marks., And in the memo, you explain it through tennis., And that’s where the title of the memo comes from., Anna So as always, do you have any final thoughts about this memo?

2011-07-21-down-to-the-wire

Memo to: OaktreeClients From: Howard M a r k s R e : DowntotheWire Here are the ingredients in the plot: A problem everyone’s aware of., I’ve decided to devote a memo to the debt issue and its significance.

The Roundup: Top Takeaways from Oaktree’s Quarterly Letters - June 2023 Edition

As a bonus, we’ve also included an excerpt from Howard Marks’s recent memo to clients. 1 Market Outlook: Tug-of-War Howard Marks Co-Chairman The overarching theme of my sea-change thinking is that, largely thanks to highly accommodative monetary policy, we went through unusually easy times in a number of important regards over a prolonged period, but that time is over., Thus, after decades of accommodative monetary policy, cheap debt, and robust equity returns, we may now be entering a new era, as our co-chairman Howard Marks eloquently described in his 2022 memo Sea Change.

2010-09-10-hemlines

 Memo to: OaktreeClients From: Howard M a rks Re: Hemlines While the details change, the pendulum-like fluctuation of investment styles is a constant., This memo will be about recurring patterns, the history of stocks and bonds as I know it, and the adage’s applicability to that history., (Given that I average a memo every couple of months, I find the very idea daunting.)

The Seven Worst Words in the World

All Rights Reserved Follow us: Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: The Seven Worst Words in the World I have a new book coming out next week titled Mastering the Market Cycle: Getting the Odds on Your Side., Thus the idea for this memo came from the seven worst words in the investment world: “too much money chasing too few deals, But these are my conclusions, and they’re the reason for this memo at this time, This memo can be recapped simply: there’s a race to the bottom going on, reflecting a widespread reduction in the level of prudence on the part of investors and capital providers.

Bull Market Rhymes

They’ll be the topic of this memo., I want to mention up front that this memo has nothing to do with assessing the markets’ likely direction from here., And updating a question I asked in my memo The Happy Medium (July 2004), why has its annual return been between 8% and 12% just six times during this period?, In my 2007 memo The Race to the Bottom, I explained that when there’s too much money in the hands of investors and providers of capital and they’re too eager to put it to work, they bid too aggressively for securities and the chance to lend.