The Memo: Risk Revisited Again

Sea Change

Regular readers of my memos know that my observations regarding the investment environment are primarily based on impressions and inferences rather than data., People who came into the business world after 2008 – or veteran investors with short memories – might think of today’s interest rates as elevated., December 13, 2022 Legal Information and Disclosures This memorandum expresses the views of the author as of the date indicated and such views are subject to change without notice., This memorandum is being made available for educational purposes only and should not be used for any other purpose., This memorandum, including the information contained herein, may not be copied, reproduced, republished, or posted in whole or in part, in any form without the prior written consent of Oaktree

Behind the Memo - The Illusion of Knowledge

Behind the Memo - Sea Change

Insights

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1999-04-15-hows-the-market

A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: OaktreeClients From: HowardMarks Re: How's the Market?, A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Legal Information and Disclosures This memorandum expresses the views of the author as of the date indicated and such views are subject to change without notice., This memorandum is being made available for educational purposes only and should not be used for any other purpose., This memorandum, including the information contained herein, may not be copied, reproduced, republished, or posted in whole or in part, in any form without the prior written consent of Oaktree.

2000-11-16-investment-miscellany

A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: OaktreeClients From: HowardMarks Re: Investment Miscellany Because I've been encouraged by the response to my “bubble. com” and venture capital memos, I'm going to keep writing., Glassman's name may be familiar to you, because my memo of May 1, 2000 took issue with “Dow 36,000,” a book he co-authored., A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Legal Information and Disclosures This memorandum expresses the views of the author as of the date indicated and such views are subject to change without notice., This memorandum is being made available for educational purposes only and should not be used for any other purpose., This memorandum, including the information contained herein, may not be copied, reproduced, republished, or posted in whole or in part, in any form without the prior written consent of Oaktree.

2002-11-11-returns-and-how-they-get-that-way

 Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: Returns and How They Get That Way "Where do babies come from?", The Role of Luck To end this memo on returns, I want to spend a few pages discussing the part played by randomness (or luck or chance)., A L L R I G H T S R E S E R V E D Legal Information and Disclosures This memorandum expresses the views of the author as of the date indicated and such views are subject to change without notice., This memorandum is being made available for educational purposes only and should not be used for any other purpose., This memorandum, including the information contained herein, may not be copied, reproduced, republished, or posted in whole or in part, in any form without the prior written consent of Oaktree

2007-02-14-the-race-to-the-bottom

But there are other ways to cheapen your money, and they’re the primary subject of this memo, Now, I am no expert on the UK mortgage market, and it’s my intention in this memo to comment on general capital market trends, not any one sector., As is often the case, I could have made this a shorter memo by simply invoking my two favorite quotations, both of which have a place here., The first is the extreme brevity of the financial memory., This memorandum is being made available for educational purposes only and should not be used for any other purpose.

2007-07-30-its-all-good-Really

A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: OaktreeClients From: Howard Marks Re: It’s All Good . . ., UThe Seed This memo isn’t about the events of July 2007, but rather how recent events exemplify the time-honored pattern that kicks off the swing back of the pendulum., A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d 10 Legal Information and Disclosures This memorandum expresses the views of the author as of the date indicated and such views are subject to change without notice., This memorandum is being made available for educational purposes only and should not be used for any other purpose., This memorandum, including the information contained herein, may not be copied, reproduced, republished, or posted in whole or in part, in any form without the prior written consent of Oaktree.