303 results for "memo":
Showing 141 - 150 of 303 results
The Indispensability of Risk
That’s why I’ve written a memo comparing investing to sports in each of the four decades I’ve been writing memos and one connecting investing and card playing in 2020., The motivation for this memo comes from an article in The Wall Street Journal of April 12 that my partner Bruce Karsh sent me entitled “Chess Teaches the Power of Sacrifice” by Maurice Ashley, a chess grandmaster who has been inducted into the U.S., Few people know that Bruce is a chess player, and I hadn’t thought about this fact for years, but the article provided a good reminder and moved me to dash off this memo., Relevant lessons from sports (included in past memos) are easily accessed and also very helpful: “You miss 100% of the shots you don’t take.” – Wayne Gretzky, NHL Hall of Famer “You have to give yourself a chance to fail.” – Kenny “The Jet” Smith, two-time NBA champion I’ll sum up with a paragraph from my memo of last September, Fewer Losers, or More Winners?
What Lies Ahead
A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: OaktreeClients From: HowardMarks Re: WhatLiesAhead?, I must admit that I haven't been looking forward to writing a memo about the economic and investment implications of the attacks.
Quo Vadis?
A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: OaktreeClients From: Howard M a r k s R e : Q u o V a d i s ?, I've been cautious for a long time – in fact, I don't remember ever having written a bullish piece on stocks – and this memo is unlikely to be any different.
Fewer Losers, or More Winners?
This time, in my fourth decade of memo-writing, I’m going to devote a few more paragraphs to tennis., In my memo Liquidity (March 2015), I included an insight from my son Andrew., The Role of Risk Bearing I’m going to conclude this memo using my favorite graph., Since writing that memo, I’ve concluded that this way of thinking about things has a great many applications., In my memo What Really Matters?
The Folly of Certainty
And, with that, I had the subject of this memo: not whether Biden will continue campaigning or drop out – or whether he’ll win if he continues – but rather how anyone can be without doubt., , has supplied an interesting tidbit for this memo on the subject of economists’ conclusions: I use the Philly Fed’s Anxious Index (the probability of a decline in real GDP in the upcoming quarter) as an indicator that a recession has ended., Back in mid-2020, when the pandemic seemed to have become a more or less understood phenomenon, I slowed the pace of my memo writing from the one-a-week pattern of March and April., P.S.: Last summer’s Grand Slam tennis tournaments provided the inspiration for my memo Fewer Losers, or More Winners?, Similarly, this past Saturday’s women’s final match at Wimbledon has provided a snippet for this memo.
Latest Thinking
All Rights Reserved Follow us: Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: Latest Thinking Travel to clients abroad and preoccupation with my coming book on cycles (final draft submitted just the other day) have combined to keep me from writing a memo since September, but fortunately not from thinking., , some readers of my July memo, “There They Go Again . . ., In September I observed that the cautionary July memo hadn’t said much with respect to what people actually should do about the markets, and I tried to remedy that., All Rights Reserved Follow us: As a result, we see a lot of the reaction that greeted my July memo: “the market’s expensive, but I think it has further to go.”, I wrote that in 1997, in a clients-only memo entitled “Are You an Investor or a Speculator?”
More on Repealing the Laws of Economics
All Rights Reserved Follow us: Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: More on Repealing the Laws of Economics Last September, I wrote a memo titled Shall We Repeal the Laws of Economics?, Rent Control A prime example discussed in my September memo was rent control., On April 9, in my memo Nobody Knows (Yet Again), I guessed at President Trump’s goals in enacting them as follows: • support U.S. manufacturing • discourage imports • encourage exports • shrink or eliminate our trade deficit • make supply chains more secure through onshoring • deter unfair trade practices aimed at the U.S
Returns Absolute Returns and Risk
A l l R i g h t s R e s e r v e d Memo to: OaktreeClients From: HowardMarks Re: Returns,AbsoluteReturns and Risk UWhat’s In a Name?, According to the article that inspired this memo, “Today, the term ‘absolute return’ seems to be used most often to describe what wealthy individual investors have always called hedge funds.”, When I wrote the memo “Risk” in February, I thought I had hit on something when I observed that risk is not measurable even after the fact.
Lessons from Silicon Valley Bank
A Word on Regulation In March 2011, in the aftermath of the GFC, I published a memo called On Regulation ., Combine developments like these with the reality that (a) interest rates are no longer declining or near zero; (b) the Fed can’t be as accommodative as it was in the last few crises, because of today’s elevated inflation; and (c) negative developments are popping up in portfolios, and I think the case made in my previous memo, Sea Change (December 2022), has been bolstered., * * * While I don’t foresee widespread contagion – either psychological or financial – arising from the SVB failure alone, I can’t end a memo on U.S. banks without mentioning one of the biggest worries they face today: the possibility of problems stemming from loans against commercial real estate (“CRE”), especially office buildings.
What Does the Market Know?
All Rights Reserved Follow us: Memo to: Oaktree Clients From: Howard Marks Re: What Does the Market Know?, ” That prompted this memo in response., The rest of this memo will be about fleshing out this theme (meaning you can stop reading here if you’ve had enough or are short on time)., If “On the Couch” wasn’t successful in convincing you this isn’t possible, this memo probably won’t be, either., I set a trap at the beginning of this memo, and I want to spring it now.